Posts Tagged ‘government’

Good news and warning signs

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

At first glance, it appears that our region’s labor market has finally turned a corner and begun to recover. According to the Washington State Employment Security Department Whatcom County’s unemployment rate fell from 9.5 percent in March to 8 percent in April. In Skagit County, the rate fell from 11.5 percent to 9.8 percent during the same period.

The state unemployment rate fell for the first time in more than three years from 9.5 percent in March to 9.2 percent in April. However, in Whatcom and Skagit counties, much of the job growth resulted from seasonal work in agriculture and, in Whatcom County, the lower rate in April can be explained in part because approximately 16 percent of the labor force seeking employment in March dropped out of the labor force in April. In addition, these numbers don’t account for the underemployed people who are working in jobs they are over qualified for. We have an extraordinary talented labor pool in our area that is operating substantially below it’s potential. Unfortunately, that’s the good news.

The challenge we now face is avoiding higher unemployment as the new norm. This won’t be easy if the political class at all levels of government can’t control the severe problem of too much government spending and debt. As I write this column the national debt has exceeded $13 trillion. That equals $117,975 per tax-payer and amounts to a 90 percent debt-to-gross-domestic-product ratio and doesn’t include the debt associated with unfunded entitlement programs and the losses from Fannie and Freddie that total $145 billion and rising.

The political class has dug an enormous economic hole for us and their current policy seems to be to keep digging. The private sector is heavily burdened and concerned about future tax increases and increased cost of doing business associated with a complex 2,700 page health-care reform bill, a financial reform bill expected to be more than 2,000 pages (which does not address Fannie or Freddie), and other initiatives like cap and trade and talks about a European-style value-added tax.

In addition, in mid-May USA Today reported that paychecks from private business shrank to their smallest share of personal income in U.S. history during the first quarter of this year. In the same time frame, government-provided benefits rose to a record high. This trend is unsustainable. The government depends on the taxes from the private sector to pay for these expanding programs. With private incomes shrinking and government spending increasing, the math just doesn’t work.

Why is this particularly important to those of us living in Whatcom and Skagit counties? In our region, government is our largest employer. In the past, this has been a great benefit and to a certain degree, it’s why we’ve never really experienced the economic high of the highs or low of the lows. However, the lack of fiscal discipline at the federal and state levels and the down trend in private incomes will have a clear negative impact on local governments and our regional economy. Western Washington University is in the process of managing approximately $13 million in budget cuts as are most other state institutions and virtually every local government agency is dealing with similar challenges.

So, what is the solution? First, we must send a clear message to Washington D.C. and Washington state that we’ve had enough. We must demand fiscal discipline. We’ll have that opportunity in November.

Second, we must refocus local efforts on economic development and job creation in the private sector. A number of groups including the Economic Development Association of Skagit County and the Northwest Economic Council of Whatcom County have been at the heart of these efforts. In the past, the focus has been on touting the quality of life and strong labor force in an effort to attract companies to relocate to our region. In order to make these efforts successful, it requires strong cooperation from local governments in making us a business-friendly region. Skagit County has been successful in that regard. Whatcom County has not. In the current economic environment, if we’re going to create jobs, it’s going to require our government officials backing up their rhetoric with action and it will require focusing on existing small and early-stage companies, which is where most of the jobs are likely to come from.

And third, local governments are going to be required to discipline themselves financially and understand they will be facing challenges that will be trickling down from the federal and state levels. Raising taxes and imposing costly regulations on businesses and productive individuals in this environment is typically the first reaction. Instead, officials should re-examine their priorities and be prepared to make some tough choices.

Why no reform for Fannie and Freddie?

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

How can we take those in Washington D.C. in charge of financial reform seriously when they don’t include Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in their discussions? When the dust settles, we will have dumped $145 billion in taxpayer money into these two government-sponsored enterprises with no end in sight.

Fannie Mae just asked the government for another $8.4 billion in aid after posting an $11.5 billion first quarter loss. This comes just a week after Freddie announced its own request for another $10.6 billion. Both companies warned of additional future losses requiring more government bailout dollars, which will be unlimited after the Obama administration raised the $400 billion debt limit late last year. With the promise of apparently endless bailout dollars, what incentive do Fannie and Freddie have to reform themselves? None!

Government subsidies for failing business practices will only promote additional failing practices. It provides incentive for companies to take their focus off improving their products and fixing problems and places it on to lobbying Congress for more money. The original justification for bailing out these giants was the American dream of home ownership for every American. We should keep in mind that the American dream is not about home ownership alone. It’s about the values associated with reaping what you sow in a just world.

Fannie and Freddie have created a positive perception of themselves as a homeowner’s friend and they have generated substantial political clout with strong contributions to political campaigns, but they are potentially the most dangerous type of enterprise. They allow private banks and mortgage companies to take substantial risks, pocket any profits for themselves, then dump the investments to Fannie and Freddie and count on taxpayers to take care of the losses.

Fannie and Freddie need to be broken into smaller private mortgage entities in order to eliminate the market distortions they create. There are many other reasonable ideas to consider, but one thing is for sure… it is disingenuous and irresponsible to leave them out of financial reform discussions.

Tony Larson, Publisher

Be careful what you wish for

Thursday, January 28th, 2010

Look out Washington State, you might be next.  The Kool-Aid drinkers in Oregon have proven that some of the people can be fooled all of the time.
I was very surprised, particularly in the current economic environment, to see that 54% of Oregonians recently voted for $700 million in higher taxes on businesses and what they called the state’s wealthy.
Their highest state income tax rate will rise to 11%, toward the highest in the country, which is New York at 12.6%.
Why is it that Oregonians would duplicate the self-destructive behavior of states like California, New York and New Jersey, who are seeing productive people and businesses leave their state in droves to find more friendly tax and regulatory environments? Phil Knight of Nike called the tax initiative Oregon’s “assisted suicide for business.”
As it turns out, even though the initiative lost in most of the state, it won 71% of the vote in liberal precincts in Portland, bankrolled by a deluge of money from national and local public employees unions. They ran class-warfare ads that suggested that the taxes would be paid by Wall Street bankers, out-of state credit card companies and CEOs. In reality, job creators will be hit most. Or correct that, more affluent people have the resources to move themselves and their businesses out of state if they want to. It’s private employees, left without job opportunities, who will be hit hardest.
Who are the winners of this tax increase? The average pay and benefits package in Oregon for unionized state employees in 2009 was more than $83,000. That’s more than 30% higher than private employees. While private unions have decreased in membership over the past 10 years, public employee unions have grown. Now they are promoting class warfare in order to convince people they are the modern day Robin Hood. Apparently many feel comfortable voting for tax increases they think only apply to others.
In 1787, a Scottish history professor named Alexander Tyler commented on the fall of the Athenian Republic, saying, “A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until 
the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from 
the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for 
the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, 
with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose 
fiscal policy.”
Now, in addition to politicians, we need to be concerned about the influence of public employee unions.  They are generating more and more political influence.  Most don’t understand we are not a democracy. We are a Republic and are supposed to be directed by our Constitution, which limits the role of government and protects individuals against intrusive government power. As long as we don’t forget that, our Republic is safe. When we expect and ask our government to solve our problems, we are in trouble. So, be careful what you wish for.

Tony Larson, Publisher